Prisma Case

Prisma Case

Base Grade Rare pool · since Apr 12, 2026 -4.5% · 6 d-14.1% · 28 d

A weapon case released Mar 5, 2019: 17 community finishes plus a rare special slot with 56 knives across 4 models. It has left the active drop pool and now drops only rarely, so supply is shrinking.

Item facts

Type Weapon case opens with a key
Released Mar 5, 2019 first Steam Market sale
Key $2.49 store only, not tradable
Rare special 0.26% ≈ 1 in 385 openings
Knives 56 variants across 4 models
Sold / day ~2.0K all markets
Liquidity High how fast it sells
Fair price $0.999 suggested
183d range $0.13 – $1.58 lowest ask, min–max

What's inside & drop odds

73 items

73 items: 17 community finishes plus 56 knives in the rare special slot. Odds are per opening, shared across the items in each tier.

Rare Special (knife / gloves) 0.26% · 56 knives across 4 models · floors $33.74 to $2,485.83
Talon Knife (Doppler Black Pearl)
Talon Knife (Doppler Black Pearl) $2,485.83 to $2,779.63 · ST $2,485.83+
Talon Knife (Doppler Ruby)
Talon Knife (Doppler Ruby) $2,390.39 to $2,530.00 · ST $2,390.39+
Stiletto Knife (Doppler Black Pearl)
Stiletto Knife (Doppler Black Pearl) $1,624.42
Talon Knife (Doppler Sapphire)
Talon Knife (Doppler Sapphire) $1,494.32 to $2,050.38 · ST $1,803.82+
Stiletto Knife (Doppler Ruby)
Stiletto Knife (Doppler Ruby) $1,371.75 to $1,539.15 · ST $1,638.08+
Stiletto Knife (Doppler Sapphire)
Stiletto Knife (Doppler Sapphire) $864.38 to $1,172.91 · ST $979.38+
Talon Knife (Doppler Phase 2)
Talon Knife (Doppler Phase 2) $844.29 to $1,049.61 · ST $1,017.05+
Talon Knife (Doppler Phase 4)
Talon Knife (Doppler Phase 4) $777.45 to $899.65 · ST $907.36+
Ursus Knife (Doppler Black Pearl)
Ursus Knife (Doppler Black Pearl) $737.88
Talon Knife (Doppler Phase 3)
Talon Knife (Doppler Phase 3) $702.18 to $875.58 · ST $859.00+
Talon Knife (Doppler)
Talon Knife (Doppler) $639.36 to $839.98 · ST $794.99+
Talon Knife (Doppler Phase 1)
Talon Knife (Doppler Phase 1) $639.36 to $863.14 · ST $800.92+
Ursus Knife (Doppler Ruby)
Ursus Knife (Doppler Ruby) $602.48 to $736.63 · ST $659.15+
Stiletto Knife (Doppler Phase 2)
Stiletto Knife (Doppler Phase 2) $544.20 to $627.62 · ST $555.03+
Talon Knife (Marble Fade)
Talon Knife (Marble Fade) $475.00 to $524.25 · ST $536.47+
Stiletto Knife (Doppler Phase 4)
Stiletto Knife (Doppler Phase 4) $450.98 to $554.79 · ST $450.98+
Stiletto Knife (Doppler Phase 1)
Stiletto Knife (Doppler Phase 1) $424.68 to $586.77 · ST $455.40+
Stiletto Knife (Doppler Phase 3)
Stiletto Knife (Doppler Phase 3) $410.60 to $527.06 · ST $465.67+
Stiletto Knife (Doppler)
Stiletto Knife (Doppler) $406.46 to $527.06 · ST $450.98+
Talon Knife (Tiger Tooth)
Talon Knife (Tiger Tooth) $400.00 to $487.16 · ST $438.06+
Ursus Knife (Doppler Sapphire)
Ursus Knife (Doppler Sapphire) $396.00 to $672.30 · ST $478.66+
Navaja Knife (Doppler Black Pearl)
Navaja Knife (Doppler Black Pearl) $297.86
Talon Knife (Vanilla)
Talon Knife (Vanilla) $270.00
Stiletto Knife (Marble Fade)
Stiletto Knife (Marble Fade) $253.03 to $324.94 · ST $273.64+
Stiletto Knife (Tiger Tooth)
Stiletto Knife (Tiger Tooth) $241.78 to $250.05 · ST $257.67+
Ursus Knife (Doppler Phase 2)
Ursus Knife (Doppler Phase 2) $229.27 to $329.88 · ST $269.70+
Navaja Knife (Doppler Ruby)
Navaja Knife (Doppler Ruby) $221.61 to $288.18 · ST $297.51+
Ursus Knife (Doppler Phase 4)
Ursus Knife (Doppler Phase 4) $218.91 to $295.87 · ST $261.95+
Talon Knife (Ultraviolet)
Talon Knife (Ultraviolet) $218.75 to $775.00 · ST $251.60+
Talon Knife (Rust Coat)
Talon Knife (Rust Coat) $213.48 to $231.63 · ST $237.23+
Ursus Knife (Doppler Phase 3)
Ursus Knife (Doppler Phase 3) $197.01 to $296.02 · ST $253.23+
Ursus Knife (Doppler)
Ursus Knife (Doppler) $188.54 to $285.99 · ST $253.11+
Ursus Knife (Doppler Phase 1)
Ursus Knife (Doppler Phase 1) $188.54 to $301.65 · ST $261.39+
Talon Knife (Damascus Steel)
Talon Knife (Damascus Steel) $185.24 to $316.66 · ST $185.24+
Navaja Knife (Doppler Sapphire)
Navaja Knife (Doppler Sapphire) $173.18 to $263.16 · ST $232.85+
Stiletto Knife (Vanilla)
Stiletto Knife (Vanilla) $164.07
Stiletto Knife (Damascus Steel)
Stiletto Knife (Damascus Steel) $153.15 to $183.41 · ST $168.37+
Stiletto Knife (Ultraviolet)
Stiletto Knife (Ultraviolet) $139.97 to $389.00 · ST $164.93+
Ursus Knife (Marble Fade)
Ursus Knife (Marble Fade) $124.84 to $134.60 · ST $164.84+
Navaja Knife (Doppler Phase 2)
Navaja Knife (Doppler Phase 2) $117.11 to $174.14 · ST $142.71+
Ursus Knife (Tiger Tooth)
Ursus Knife (Tiger Tooth) $112.31 to $148.55 · ST $131.84+
Stiletto Knife (Rust Coat)
Stiletto Knife (Rust Coat) $102.14 to $132.44 · ST $121.06+
Navaja Knife (Doppler Phase 1)
Navaja Knife (Doppler Phase 1) $101.47 to $167.42 · ST $124.84+
Navaja Knife (Doppler Phase 4)
Navaja Knife (Doppler Phase 4) $99.37 to $199.44 · ST $127.52+
Navaja Knife (Doppler)
Navaja Knife (Doppler) $73.58 to $159.04 · ST $120.22+
Navaja Knife (Doppler Phase 3)
Navaja Knife (Doppler Phase 3) $73.58 to $191.63 · ST $120.22+
Navaja Knife (Marble Fade)
Navaja Knife (Marble Fade) $70.13 to $97.69 · ST $103.32+
Ursus Knife (Ultraviolet)
Ursus Knife (Ultraviolet) $65.10 to $350.00 · ST $88.04+
Ursus Knife (Vanilla)
Ursus Knife (Vanilla) $63.34
Ursus Knife (Damascus Steel)
Ursus Knife (Damascus Steel) $63.17 to $77.71 · ST $74.72+
Navaja Knife (Tiger Tooth)
Navaja Knife (Tiger Tooth) $57.58 to $74.00 · ST $76.75+
Ursus Knife (Rust Coat)
Ursus Knife (Rust Coat) $45.96 to $56.60 · ST $56.26+
Navaja Knife (Ultraviolet)
Navaja Knife (Ultraviolet) $37.72 to $96.43 · ST $51.85+
Navaja Knife (Damascus Steel)
Navaja Knife (Damascus Steel) $37.19 to $47.33 · ST $49.42+
Navaja Knife (Vanilla)
Navaja Knife (Vanilla) $34.53
Navaja Knife (Rust Coat)
Navaja Knife (Rust Coat) $33.74 to $39.13 · ST $44.69+

Tile price: the current floor at the cheapest market; the second line is the range across wears. Each tile opens the item page with every wear and market.

Is it worth opening: the math

Opening cost $3.56 case $1.07 + key $2.49 Expected value $2.00 per opening You get back 56¢ / $1 before selling fees To hit the rare slot?Tier odds are published by Valve. 0.26% for the rare slot means 1 drop per 385 openings on average, about $1,370.60 at the current opening cost. ≈ 385 openings ≈ $1,370.60 at current prices
Tier Odds Avg item value Adds to EV
Rare Special (knife / gloves) avg over 24 of 28 priced 0.26% $259.93 $0.676
Covert 0.64% $56.75 $0.363
Classified 3.20% $9.15 $0.293
Restricted 15.98% $1.94 $0.310
Mil-Spec 79.92% $0.442 $0.353

Verdict: opening is entertainment, not value. You get back 56% of the opening cost on average, and the rare slot takes ≈ 385 openings to hit. If you want a specific skin, buying it outright is almost always cheaper.

EV = Valve's published tier odds × wear-weighted median asks across markets, 90/10 StatTrak blend, Doppler averaged across phases · How the math works → · How we price →

Prisma Case prices across 25 markets

Selling this skin? See what you’d get →
Official
Steam Market
No cash-out Bank card · PayPal
$1.56 +84% more than Skinport
View
Best Price
Marketplace 979 offers KYC
$0.850 −46% vs Steam
View Deal
#2
P2P 11099 offers
$1.00 +$0.15
View Deal
#3
Marketplace 1 offer
$1.00 +$0.15
View Deal
#4
Instant sell 105 offers KYC
$1.01 +$0.16
View Deal
#5
Instant sell 1309 offers
$1.02 +$0.17
View Deal
#6
Marketplace 411 offers KYC
$1.04 +$0.19
View Deal
#7
Instant sell 8344 offers
$1.04 +$0.19
View Deal
#8
China market 10608 offers KYC
$1.04 +$0.19
View Deal

Each price is the total you pay, buyer fees included. The dot shows how well the venue fits your region. How we price →

Price history $0.850 -37% · 183d

Lowest ask · 73 snapshots since Apr 12, 2026 · dashed = a gap over a week

How the Prisma Case drops and opens

New drops of Prisma Case, first sold Mar 5, 2019, are rare-pool only these days: the case is out of the weekly rotation, and the market runs on old stock — currently from $0.850 across 25 marketplaces. As that stock thins, prices of retired cases historically climb; dated pool changes live in the drop-pool registry. Drop-pool registry →

A $2.49 store key is mandatory per opening (keys left the market in 2019), and the case itself typically costs less bought outright than farmed. The economics: $3.56 in, $2.00 expected out, 56% average return before fees. Anyone hunting one skin should buy it directly — the tiles above link each item to its markets.

From this page's data: 73 items priced live, the 28-day median case price moved -14.1%. All prices recompute with every data snapshot.

Prisma Case questions

What is inside the Prisma Case?

17 community finishes from Mil-Spec to Covert, topped by M4A4 (The Emperor) and Five-SeveN (Angry Mob), plus a rare special slot: 56 knife variants across 4 models. The full priced list is above on this page.

What are the knife odds?

0.26% per opening, about 1 per 385 openings on average. At $3.56 per opening the average path to the rare slot costs roughly $1,370.60.

How much is the key?

$2.49 in the in-game store. Keys cannot be bought on the market or traded: the price is the same for everyone.

Is the Prisma Case worth opening?

No by expected value: $2.00 back per $3.56 opening, or 56% of the cost. Treat opening as entertainment, not as a way to acquire skins.

Will the Prisma Case be discontinued?

It already rotated out of the active pool (rare pool as of our Apr 12, 2026 registry snapshot). It still drops rarely — cases never leave the game entirely. Drop-pool registry →

How do I get one without opening it?

Buying it is the practical route — from $0.850 across the markets in the table above. It no longer drops weekly.

Is opening cases legal in my country?

Loot-box rules differ by country: Belgium treats paid loot boxes as gambling and Valve disabled case opening there, while several other countries require odds disclosure or age gates. If opening is restricted where you live, buying items directly stays available. Responsible trading guide →