Prisma Case

Prisma Case

Base Grade Rare pool · since Apr 12, 2026 -2.7% · 9 d

A weapon case released Mar 5, 2019: 17 community finishes plus a rare special slot with 56 knives across 4 models. It has left the active drop pool and now drops only rarely, so supply is shrinking.

Item facts

TypeWeapon caseopens with a key
ReleasedMar 5, 2019first Steam Market sale
Key$2.49store only, not tradable
Rare special0.26%≈ 1 in 385 openings
Knives56 variantsacross 4 models
Sold / day~9.6Kall markets
LiquidityHighhow fast it sells
Fair price$1.32suggested
22d range$0.13 – $0.13lowest ask, min–max
Steam sales 30d297avg 9.9 / day

What's inside & drop odds

73 items

73 items: 17 community finishes plus 56 knives in the rare special slot. Odds are per opening, shared across the items in each tier.

Rare Special (knife / gloves)0.26% · 56 knives across 4 models · floors $38.12 to $2,796.59
Talon Knife (Doppler Black Pearl)
Talon Knife (Doppler Black Pearl)$2,796.59to $2,947.08 · ST $3,500.00+
Talon Knife (Doppler Ruby)
Talon Knife (Doppler Ruby)$2,588.13to $2,649.40 · ST $3,376.24+
Stiletto Knife (Doppler Black Pearl)
Stiletto Knife (Doppler Black Pearl)$1,993.84
Stiletto Knife (Doppler Ruby)
Stiletto Knife (Doppler Ruby)$1,735.55to $1,896.03 · ST $1,735.55+
Talon Knife (Doppler Sapphire)
Talon Knife (Doppler Sapphire)$1,725.38to $1,760.37 · ST $2,001.29+
Stiletto Knife (Doppler Sapphire)
Stiletto Knife (Doppler Sapphire)$1,086.48to $1,256.41 · ST $1,117.16+
Talon Knife (Doppler Phase 2)
Talon Knife (Doppler Phase 2)$997.94to $1,136.78 · ST $1,059.68+
Talon Knife (Doppler Phase 4)
Talon Knife (Doppler Phase 4)$877.84to $880.96 · ST $912.57+
Talon Knife (Doppler Phase 3)
Talon Knife (Doppler Phase 3)$821.31to $879.16 · ST $938.55+
Talon Knife (Doppler Phase 1)
Talon Knife (Doppler Phase 1)$801.38to $872.55 · ST $848.90+
Talon Knife (Doppler)
Talon Knife (Doppler)$786.44to $823.89 · ST $848.90+
Ursus Knife (Doppler Black Pearl)
Ursus Knife (Doppler Black Pearl)$776.72
Ursus Knife (Doppler Ruby)
Ursus Knife (Doppler Ruby)$744.45to $896.41 · ST $786.83+
Stiletto Knife (Doppler Phase 2)
Stiletto Knife (Doppler Phase 2)$599.93to $708.08 · ST $599.93+
Talon Knife (Marble Fade)
Talon Knife (Marble Fade)$554.35to $562.02 · ST $616.78+
Ursus Knife (Doppler Sapphire)
Ursus Knife (Doppler Sapphire)$529.00to $721.23 · ST $553.43+
Stiletto Knife (Doppler Phase 4)
Stiletto Knife (Doppler Phase 4)$505.40to $563.75 · ST $505.40+
Stiletto Knife (Doppler Phase 1)
Stiletto Knife (Doppler Phase 1)$475.59to $575.25 · ST $475.59+
Talon Knife (Tiger Tooth)
Talon Knife (Tiger Tooth)$465.90to $491.01 · ST $501.00+
Stiletto Knife (Doppler Phase 3)
Stiletto Knife (Doppler Phase 3)$459.23to $540.72 · ST $486.30+
Stiletto Knife (Doppler)
Stiletto Knife (Doppler)$440.00to $509.90 · ST $475.59+
Navaja Knife (Doppler Black Pearl)
Navaja Knife (Doppler Black Pearl)$360.18
Talon Knife (Vanilla)
Talon Knife (Vanilla)$320.00
Talon Knife (Damascus Steel)
Talon Knife (Damascus Steel)$299.08to $348.85 · ST $321.99+
Stiletto Knife (Marble Fade)
Stiletto Knife (Marble Fade)$297.30to $355.16 · ST $317.04+
Navaja Knife (Doppler Ruby)
Navaja Knife (Doppler Ruby)$292.32to $303.28 · ST $346.79+
Ursus Knife (Doppler Phase 2)
Ursus Knife (Doppler Phase 2)$283.00to $346.79 · ST $287.02+
Stiletto Knife (Tiger Tooth)
Stiletto Knife (Tiger Tooth)$273.99to $288.76 · ST $297.32+
Ursus Knife (Doppler Phase 4)
Ursus Knife (Doppler Phase 4)$258.32to $326.06 · ST $265.51+
Ursus Knife (Doppler Phase 3)
Ursus Knife (Doppler Phase 3)$243.00to $335.06 · ST $284.45+
Talon Knife (Rust Coat)
Talon Knife (Rust Coat)$241.27to $267.99 · ST $256.12+
Ursus Knife (Doppler Phase 1)
Ursus Knife (Doppler Phase 1)$240.71to $361.36 · ST $270.23+
Talon Knife (Ultraviolet)
Talon Knife (Ultraviolet)$237.94to $865.00 · ST $273.31+
Ursus Knife (Doppler)
Ursus Knife (Doppler)$232.84to $312.83 · ST $265.51+
Stiletto Knife (Vanilla)
Stiletto Knife (Vanilla)$202.43
Navaja Knife (Doppler Sapphire)
Navaja Knife (Doppler Sapphire)$198.95to $248.90 · ST $245.69+
Stiletto Knife (Damascus Steel)
Stiletto Knife (Damascus Steel)$177.61to $207.50 · ST $184.86+
Ursus Knife (Marble Fade)
Ursus Knife (Marble Fade)$155.23to $179.65 · ST $181.38+
Stiletto Knife (Ultraviolet)
Stiletto Knife (Ultraviolet)$150.34to $386.51 · ST $163.86+
Ursus Knife (Tiger Tooth)
Ursus Knife (Tiger Tooth)$134.18to $144.73 · ST $152.11+
Stiletto Knife (Rust Coat)
Stiletto Knife (Rust Coat)$130.50to $145.00 · ST $134.85+
Navaja Knife (Doppler Phase 2)
Navaja Knife (Doppler Phase 2)$126.40to $175.90 · ST $149.42+
Navaja Knife (Doppler Phase 4)
Navaja Knife (Doppler Phase 4)$111.38to $168.37 · ST $152.96+
Navaja Knife (Doppler Phase 1)
Navaja Knife (Doppler Phase 1)$111.34to $189.29 · ST $153.64+
Navaja Knife (Doppler)
Navaja Knife (Doppler)$106.37to $168.37 · ST $129.10+
Navaja Knife (Doppler Phase 3)
Navaja Knife (Doppler Phase 3)$106.37to $180.02 · ST $151.85+
Ursus Knife (Vanilla)
Ursus Knife (Vanilla)$94.42
Navaja Knife (Marble Fade)
Navaja Knife (Marble Fade)$91.13to $104.67 · ST $112.76+
Ursus Knife (Damascus Steel)
Ursus Knife (Damascus Steel)$77.00to $95.14 · ST $86.94+
Ursus Knife (Ultraviolet)
Ursus Knife (Ultraviolet)$76.03to $410.00 · ST $97.33+
Navaja Knife (Tiger Tooth)
Navaja Knife (Tiger Tooth)$68.79to $80.36 · ST $85.40+
Ursus Knife (Rust Coat)
Ursus Knife (Rust Coat)$54.00to $62.48 · ST $61.84+
Navaja Knife (Ultraviolet)
Navaja Knife (Ultraviolet)$44.02to $103.00 · ST $59.51+
Navaja Knife (Vanilla)
Navaja Knife (Vanilla)$41.93
Navaja Knife (Damascus Steel)
Navaja Knife (Damascus Steel)$40.60to $56.82 · ST $54.63+
Navaja Knife (Rust Coat)
Navaja Knife (Rust Coat)$38.12to $45.93 · ST $48.50+

Tile price: the current floor at the cheapest market; the second line is the range across wears. Each tile opens the item page with every wear and market.

Is it worth opening: the math

Opening cost$3.84case $1.35 + key $2.49Expected value$2.39per openingYou get back62¢ / $1before selling feesTo hit the rare slot?Tier odds are published by Valve. 0.26% for the rare slot means 1 drop per 385 openings on average, about $1,476.48 at the current opening cost.≈ 385 openings≈ $1,476.48 at current prices
TierOddsAvg item valueAdds to EV
Rare Special (knife / gloves)avg over 24 of 28 priced0.26%$282.14$0.734
Covert0.64%$64.33$0.412
Classified3.20%$10.52$0.337
Restricted15.98%$2.53$0.405
Mil-Spec79.92%$0.632$0.505

Verdict: opening is entertainment, not value.You get back 62% of the opening cost on average, and the rare slot takes ≈ 385 openings to hit. If you want a specific skin, buying it outright is almost always cheaper.

EV = Valve's published tier odds × wear-weighted median asks across markets, 90/10 StatTrak blend, Doppler averaged across phases · How the math works → · How we price

Prisma Case prices across 28 markets

Selling this skin? See what you’d get →
Best Price
Instant sell5 offers
$1.21
View Deal
#2
P2P9598 offers
$1.22+$0.01
View Deal
#3
Marketplace1759 offersKYC
$1.25+$0.04
View Deal
#4
Marketplace1 offer
$1.27+$0.06
View Deal
#5
Instant sell1584 offers
$1.27+$0.06
View Deal
#6
Marketplace49266 offersKYC
$1.27+$0.06
View Deal
#7
China market10457 offersKYC
$1.31+$0.10
View Deal
#8
China market2148 offersKYC
$1.31+$0.10
View Deal

Each price is the total you pay, buyer fees included. The dot shows how well the venue fits your region. How we price →

Price history $0.126 -1% · 22d

Lowest ask · 11 snapshots since Jun 17, 2026 · dashed = a gap over a week

How the Prisma Case drops and opens

New drops of Prisma Case, first sold Mar 5, 2019, are rare-pool only these days: the case is out of the weekly rotation, and the market runs on old stock — currently from $1.21 across 29 marketplaces. As that stock thins, prices of retired cases historically climb; dated pool changes live in the drop-pool registry. Drop-pool registry →

A $2.49 store key is mandatory per opening (keys left the market in 2019), and the case itself typically costs less bought outright than farmed. The economics: $3.84 in, $2.39 expected out, 62% average return before fees. Anyone hunting one skin should buy it directly — the tiles above link each item to its markets.

From this page's data: 73 items priced live, the 9-day median case price moved -2.7%, Steam volume holds near 19 cases sold per day. All prices recompute with every data snapshot.

Prisma Case questions

What is inside the Prisma Case?

17 community finishes from Mil-Spec to Covert, topped by M4A4 (The Emperor) and Five-SeveN (Angry Mob), plus a rare special slot: 56 knife variants across 4 models. The full priced list is above on this page.

What are the knife odds?

0.26% per opening, about 1 per 385 openings on average. At $3.84 per opening the average path to the rare slot costs roughly $1,476.48.

How much is the key?

$2.49 in the in-game store. Keys cannot be bought on the market or traded: the price is the same for everyone.

Is the Prisma Case worth opening?

No by expected value: $2.39 back per $3.84 opening, or 62% of the cost. Treat opening as entertainment, not as a way to acquire skins.

Will the Prisma Case be discontinued?

It already rotated out of the active pool (rare pool as of our Apr 12, 2026 registry snapshot). It still drops rarely — cases never leave the game entirely. Drop-pool registry →

How do I get one without opening it?

Buying it is the practical route — from $1.21 across the markets in the table above. It no longer drops weekly.

Is opening cases legal in my country?

Loot-box rules differ by country: Belgium treats paid loot boxes as gambling and Valve disabled case opening there, while several other countries require odds disclosure or age gates. If opening is restricted where you live, buying items directly stays available. Responsible trading guide →