Fever Case
A weapon case released Feb 4, 2025: 17 community finishes plus a rare special slot with 56 knives across 4 models. It is in the active weekly drop pool, so supply is still growing.
Item facts
What's inside & drop odds
73 items73 items: 17 community finishes plus 56 knives in the rare special slot. Odds are per opening, shared across the items in each tier.
Tile price: the current floor at the cheapest market; the second line is the range across wears. Each tile opens the item page with every wear and market.
Is it worth opening: the math
| Tier | Odds | Avg item value | Adds to EV |
|---|---|---|---|
| Rare Special (knife / gloves)avg over 24 of 28 priced | 0.26% | $229.50 | $0.597 |
| Covert | 0.64% | $55.37 | $0.354 |
| Classified | 3.20% | $6.22 | $0.199 |
| Restricted | 15.98% | $0.683 | $0.109 |
| Mil-Spec | 79.92% | $0.159 | $0.127 |
Verdict: opening is entertainment, not value.You get back 45% of the opening cost on average, and the rare slot takes ≈ 385 openings to hit. If you want a specific skin, buying it outright is almost always cheaper.
EV = Valve's published tier odds × wear-weighted median asks across markets, 90/10 StatTrak blend, Doppler averaged across phases · How the math works → · How we price →
Fever Case prices across 26 markets
Selling this skin? See what you’d get →No markets match this filter.
Each price is the total you pay, buyer fees included. The dot shows how well the venue fits your region. How we price →
No markets match this filter.
The number on the right is your net payout after the venue’s seller fee. Where to sell: all venues compared → · How we calculate net payouts → · Scam protection →
Lowest ask · 11 snapshots since Jun 17, 2026 · dashed = a gap over a week
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How the Fever Case drops and opens
Fever Case, first sold Feb 4, 2025, is still in the weekly rotation: profile rank-ups drop up to two containers a week, so new copies land on the market constantly and hold the price down — currently from $0.540 across 28 marketplaces. The moment Valve retires a case to the rare pool that inflow stops, which is why retired cases climb for years; see the dated history in the drop-pool registry. Drop-pool registry →
A $2.49 store key is mandatory per opening (keys left the market in 2019), and the case itself typically costs less bought outright than farmed. The economics: $3.08 in, $1.39 expected out, 45% average return before fees. Anyone hunting one skin should buy it directly — the tiles above link each item to its markets.
From this page's data: 73 items priced live, the 9-day median case price moved -0.5%, Steam volume holds near 21 cases sold per day. All prices recompute with every data snapshot.
Fever Case questions
What is inside the Fever Case?
17 community finishes from Mil-Spec to Covert, topped by FAMAS (Bad Trip) and AWP (Printstream), plus a rare special slot: 56 knife variants across 4 models. The full priced list is above on this page.
What are the knife odds?
0.26% per opening, about 1 per 385 openings on average. At $3.08 per opening the average path to the rare slot costs roughly $1,185.80.
How much is the key?
$2.49 in the in-game store. Keys cannot be bought on the market or traded: the price is the same for everyone.
Is the Fever Case worth opening?
Not by the math: each $3.08 opening returns $1.39 on average, so about 45% of the money comes back. Open for fun, buy skins directly.
Will the Fever Case be discontinued?
It has been in the active pool since Feb 4, 2025. Valve does not announce rotations ahead; dated pool changes are tracked in the drop-pool registry. Drop-pool registry →
How do I get one without opening it?
It drops free from weekly profile rank-ups, and buying is cheapest from $0.540 on third-party markets: the comparison table is above.
Is opening cases legal in my country?
Loot-box rules differ by country: Belgium treats paid loot boxes as gambling and Valve disabled case opening there, while several other countries require odds disclosure or age gates. If opening is restricted where you live, buying items directly stays available. Responsible trading guide →