Operation Hydra Case

Operation Hydra Case

Base Grade Rare pool · since Apr 12, 2026 +2.4% · 6 d-9.9% · 28 d

A weapon case released Apr 21, 2017: 17 community finishes plus a rare special slot with 24 gloves across 6 models. It has left the active drop pool and now drops only rarely, so supply is shrinking.

Item facts

Type Weapon case opens with a key
Released Apr 21, 2017 first Steam Market sale
Key $2.49 store only, not tradable
Rare special 0.26% ≈ 1 in 385 openings
Gloves 24 variants across 6 models
Sold / day ~100 all markets
Liquidity High how fast it sells
Fair price $24.31 suggested
183d range $21 – $39 lowest ask, min–max
Steam spread $6.24 13% · ask vs buy order

What's inside & drop odds

41 items

41 items: 17 community finishes plus 24 gloves in the rare special slot. Odds are per opening, shared across the items in each tier.

Tile price: the current floor at the cheapest market; the second line is the range across wears. Each tile opens the item page with every wear and market.

Is it worth opening: the math

Opening cost $28.41 case $25.92 + key $2.49 Expected value $14.51 per opening You get back 51¢ / $1 before selling fees To hit the rare slot?Tier odds are published by Valve. 0.26% for the rare slot means 1 drop per 385 openings on average, about $10,937.85 at the current opening cost. ≈ 385 openings ≈ $10,937.85 at current prices
Tier Odds Avg item value Adds to EV
Rare Special (knife / gloves) 0.26% $913.12 $2.37
Covert 0.64% $278.05 $1.78
Classified 3.20% $69.89 $2.24
Restricted 15.98% $21.72 $3.47
Mil-Spec 79.92% $5.82 $4.65

Verdict: opening is entertainment, not value. You get back 51% of the opening cost on average, and the rare slot takes ≈ 385 openings to hit. If you want a specific skin, buying it outright is almost always cheaper.

EV = Valve's published tier odds × wear-weighted median asks across markets, 90/10 StatTrak blend, Doppler averaged across phases · How the math works → · How we price →

Operation Hydra Case prices across 21 markets

Selling this skin? See what you’d get →
Official
Steam Market
No cash-out Bank card · PayPal
$36.88 +50% more than Skinport
View
Best Price
Marketplace 23 offers KYC
$24.60 −33% vs Steam
View Deal
#2
P2P 301 offers
$24.87 +$0.27
View Deal
#3
Marketplace 53 offers
$24.96 +$0.36
View Deal
#4
Instant sell 23 offers
$25.28 +$0.68
View Deal
#5
China market 835 offers KYC
$25.51 +$0.91
View Deal
#6
Marketplace 835 offers
$25.61 +$1.01
View Deal
#7
China market 169 offers KYC
$25.85 +$1.25
View Deal
#8
Marketplace 482 offers KYC
$25.89 +$1.29
View Deal

Each price is the total you pay, buyer fees included. The dot shows how well the venue fits your region. How we price →

Price history $24.60 -36% · 183d

Lowest ask · 73 snapshots since Apr 12, 2026 · dashed = a gap over a week

How the Operation Hydra Case drops and opens

Operation Hydra Case, first sold Apr 21, 2017, has rotated out of the active weekly pool: it now drops only from the rare pool at a sharply reduced rate, so most copies on the market are old stock changing hands — currently from $24.60 across 21 marketplaces. Retired cases tend to appreciate as that stock thins out; the dated pool history is in the drop-pool registry. Drop-pool registry →

The key comes only from the in-game store at $2.49 (untradable since 2019), while the case itself is normally cheaper bought on a marketplace than farmed as a drop. Per opening the expected return is $14.51 on a $28.41 spend — roughly 51% back before fees. Buying a specific skin outright beats opening for it; every tile above links to prices.

From this page's data: 41 items priced live, the 28-day median case price moved -9.9%. All prices recompute with every data snapshot.

Operation Hydra Case questions

What is inside the Operation Hydra Case?

17 community finishes from Mil-Spec to Covert, topped by AWP (Oni Taiji) and Five-SeveN (Hyper Beast), plus a rare special slot: 24 glove variants across 6 models. The full priced list is above on this page.

What are the rare special odds?

0.26% per opening, about 1 per 385 openings on average. At $28.41 per opening the average path to the rare slot costs roughly $10,937.85.

How much is the key?

$2.49 in the in-game store. Keys cannot be bought on the market or traded: the price is the same for everyone.

Is the Operation Hydra Case worth opening?

No by expected value: $14.51 back per $28.41 opening, or 51% of the cost. Treat opening as entertainment, not as a way to acquire skins.

Will the Operation Hydra Case be discontinued?

It already rotated out of the active pool (rare pool as of our Apr 12, 2026 registry snapshot). It still drops rarely — cases never leave the game entirely. Drop-pool registry →

How do I get one without opening it?

Buying it is the practical route — from $24.60 across the markets in the table above. It no longer drops weekly.

Is opening cases legal in my country?

Loot-box rules differ by country: Belgium treats paid loot boxes as gambling and Valve disabled case opening there, while several other countries require odds disclosure or age gates. If opening is restricted where you live, buying items directly stays available. Responsible trading guide →